Henderson's prediction has since been corroborated by Bloomberg reporter Jason Schreier.
The third key reason Henderson gave for this predicted 2024/2025 release date is the popularity of GTA 5, claiming that Rockstar would likely not want to release GTA 6 while its predecessor is still so successful.
#Trailer grand theft auto 6 series
Given the current PS5 and Xbox Series X shortages, Rockstar Games is apparently waiting until there is a "big enough market" for these consoles – in other words, until the majority of players can actually get their hands on them. In addition, Henderson claims that GTA 6 will only release on PS5, Xbox Series X|S and PC. Henderson also claimed that Rockstar didn't want to announce the game until it was confident that it will hit its release date, with an aim to avoid any delays, but wants to do so without making employees work extremely long hours to meet a deadline. The biggest is that apparently, Rockstar Games has been focusing heavily on "employee wellbeing", with the developer aiming to avoid crunch culture. There are a few reasons for this, according to Henderson. In it, Henderson predicts GTA 6 isn't going to release until between 20, based on his sources. The notable leaker, who is primarily known for his (mostly) accurate previews of Battlefield and Call of Duty, posted a video (opens in new tab) sharing a bunch of alleged GTA 6 details. This 2024 spike almost lines up with leaker Tom Henderson's GTA 6 release date prediction. In response to that, an analyst from investment banking firm Jefferies, quoted by Axios' Stephen Totilo on Twitter (opens in new tab), said: "there are only a handful of titles that can.provide management with the confidence to put out such a strong guidance we believe there is at least one Rockstar IP set to be released by FY24." What's more, in a press release (opens in new tab) detailing Take-Two Interactive’s deal to buy mobile game company Zynga, a section on "Strategic Rationale and Stockholder Value Creation" contained a note stating that: "Looking ahead, the combined company is expected to deliver a 14% compound annual growth rate… over the three-year period from Take-Two's Fiscal Years 2021 through 2024." If it is GTA 6 that has caused this spike, this would suggest that a delay has occurred. Originally this spike was expected to take place in the fiscal year 2023, however, it's been pushed back to 2024. If this prediction is correct then we would expect to see GTA 6 release sometime between April 2023 and March 2024.
In a note (opens in new tab) to investors, Cohen pointed out that previous marketing budgets have predicted the releases of other big releases from Take-Two Interactive, including Red Dead Redemption 2.
This led industry analyst Jeff Cohen to predict that this spike is because GTA 6 is expected to release within this period (which now looks likely). Take-Two's 10-K SEC filing (opens in new tab) from 2020 (which lays out financial plans for the next five years) shows that the company expects to spend $89 million on marketing between April 2023, and the end of March 2024 – that's a huge spike and more than half the marketing budget expected for any other fiscal year over the next decade Until now, our most solid GTA 6 release date hint came via the marketing budget of Take-Two Interactive, Rockstar's parent company. According to a recent report by Bloomberg (opens in new tab), current and former Rockstar staff reckon GTA 6 is still at least two years away from release, suggesting a a 2024 launch.Īlthough only speculation, it tallies with other reports and leaks from the last couple of years.
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